NO @ SA
NBA
Frost Bank Center
·Final
146–110
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 33 | 28 | 44 | 41 | 146 |
| SA | 20 | 31 | 27 | 32 | 110 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (SA) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
SA
66%
34%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum S | 26 | 29 | 2 | 2 |
| Brandon Ingram S | 27 | 26 | 3 | 4 |
| Jose Alvarado | 22 | 16 | 3 | 4 |
| Zion Williamson S | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 |
| Jonas Valanciunas S | 23 | 15 | 15 | 3 |
| Trey Murphy III | 25 | 14 | 4 | 4 |
| Naji Marshall | 20 | 11 | 3 | 7 |
| Jordan Hawkins | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| Dyson Daniels | 18 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Malaki Branham ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:35 Q1
"Malaki Branham makes 10-foot driving floating jump shot (Devin Vassell assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
CJ McCollum
NO
12%
2
Zion Williamson
NO
12%
3
Jonas Valanciunas
NO
11%
4
Victor Wembanyama
SA
11%
5
Keldon Johnson
SA
11%
6
Brandon Ingram
NO
11%
7
Malaki Branham
SA
8%
8
Devin Vassell
SA
8%
9
Herbert Jones
NO
7%
10
Jeremy Sochan
SA
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
28%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
13%
Jumper
24%
Layup
31%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zion Williamson | NO | 24.7 | 6.5 | 5.6 |
| 2 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 23.1 | 4.8 | 6.4 |
| 3 | CJ McCollum | NO | 22.2 | 4.6 | 5.6 |
| 4 | Devin Vassell | SA | 20.4 | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| 5 | Keldon Johnson | SA | 19.5 | 5.8 | 4.5 |
| 6 | Victor Wembanyama | SA | 19.2 | 11.8 | 3.7 |
| 7 | Jonas Valanciunas | NO | 17.2 | 11.1 | 2.6 |
| 8 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 15.6 | 4.2 | 2.0 |
| 9 | Herbert Jones | NO | 13.1 | 4.8 | 2.6 |
| 10 | Jeremy Sochan | SA | 13.0 | 4.9 | 3.9 |
| 11 | Zach Collins | SA | 11.6 | 5.6 | 3.4 |
| 12 | Malaki Branham | SA | 10.3 | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| 13 | Cedi Osman | SA | 8.4 | 2.9 | 2.4 |
| 14 | Tre Jones | SA | 8.3 | 2.7 | 4.4 |
| 15 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 8.0 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| 16 | Naji Marshall | NO | 7.4 | 3.9 | 2.2 |
| 17 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 6.8 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| 18 | Doug McDermott | SA | 5.7 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 19 | Julian Champagnie | SA | 5.6 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| 20 | Dyson Daniels | NO | 5.1 | 3.3 | 1.6 |
| 21 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 4.8 | 3.0 | 1.1 |
| 22 | Devonte' Graham | SA | 4.4 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| 23 | Sandro Mamukelashvili | SA | 3.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 24 | Cody Zeller | NO | 3.3 | 2.7 | 1.1 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.