IND @ MIN
NBA
Target Center
·Final
109–127
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND | 20 | 35 | 23 | 31 | 109 |
| MIN | 23 | 34 | 38 | 32 | 127 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (MIN) / 10 (IND) games this season
IND
away
home
MIN
26%
74%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nesmith | 26 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| Bruce Brown S | 27 | 17 | 5 | 2 |
| Isaiah Jackson | 20 | 12 | 3 | 4 |
| Myles Turner S | 21 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| T.J. McConnell S | 26 | 10 | 4 | 6 |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
| Ben Sheppard | 17 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| Jordan Nwora | 10 | 7 | 1 | 3 |
| Obi Toppin S | 17 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 23 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Myles Turner ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:17 Q1
"Myles Turner makes 22-foot three point jumper (T.J. McConnell assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Rudy Gobert
MIN
15%
2
Anthony Edwards
MIN
14%
3
Myles Turner
IND
13%
4
Karl-Anthony Towns
MIN
12%
5
Jaden McDaniels
MIN
10%
6
Bruce Brown
IND
9%
7
Obi Toppin
IND
9%
8
Buddy Hield
IND
9%
9
Mike Conley
MIN
8%
10
Jarace Walker
IND
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
28%
Free Throw
12%
Jumper
19%
Layup
40%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karl-Anthony Towns | MIN | 25.1 | 10.1 | 4.0 |
| 2 | Anthony Edwards | MIN | 22.8 | 5.0 | 5.5 |
| 3 | Myles Turner | IND | 17.1 | 8.3 | 1.6 |
| 4 | Bennedict Mathurin | IND | 15.7 | 4.1 | 2.1 |
| 5 | Mike Conley | MIN | 14.7 | 3.2 | 7.1 |
| 6 | Rudy Gobert | MIN | 14.5 | 12.1 | 1.8 |
| 7 | Naz Reid | MIN | 14.5 | 5.7 | 1.7 |
| 8 | Obi Toppin | IND | 11.9 | 4.1 | 1.6 |
| 9 | Bruce Brown | IND | 11.7 | 4.8 | 2.6 |
| 10 | Aaron Nesmith | IND | 11.7 | 2.9 | 1.5 |
| 11 | Buddy Hield | IND | 11.6 | 3.9 | 2.4 |
| 12 | Nickeil Alexander-Walker | MIN | 10.9 | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| 13 | Jaden McDaniels | MIN | 10.7 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 14 | Troy Brown Jr. | MIN | 9.5 | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| 15 | Kyle Anderson | MIN | 7.4 | 4.1 | 3.2 |
| 16 | Isaiah Jackson | IND | 7.3 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| 17 | T.J. McConnell | IND | 7.1 | 2.6 | 5.0 |
| 18 | Shake Milton | MIN | 6.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| 19 | Jordan Nwora | IND | 4.9 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| 20 | Jarace Walker | IND | 4.1 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| 21 | Jordan McLaughlin | MIN | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| 22 | Ben Sheppard | IND | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 23 | Wendell Moore Jr. | MIN | 3.5 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| 24 | Oscar Tshiebwe | IND | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.