MIN @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
107–121
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 29 | 23 | 34 | 21 | 107 |
| NO | 29 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 121 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (MIN) games this season
MIN
away
home
NO
46%
54%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl-Anthony Towns S | 33 | 17 | 12 | 1 |
| Mike Conley S | 27 | 17 | 5 | 7 |
| Naz Reid | 24 | 17 | 6 | 2 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| Shake Milton | 20 | 12 | 1 | 5 |
| Rudy Gobert S | 25 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker S | 24 | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| Kyle Anderson | 19 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| Troy Brown Jr. S | 27 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Brandon Ingram ·
Dunk (2 pts) · 11:12 Q1
"Brandon Ingram makes 1-foot driving dunk (Herbert Jones assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jonas Valanciunas
NO
13%
2
Zion Williamson
NO
12%
3
Rudy Gobert
MIN
12%
4
Brandon Ingram
NO
11%
5
CJ McCollum
NO
10%
6
Herbert Jones
NO
10%
7
Karl-Anthony Towns
MIN
9%
8
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
MIN
8%
9
Mike Conley
MIN
8%
10
Jaden McDaniels
MIN
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
9%
Dunk
22%
Free Throw
9%
Jumper
20%
Layup
40%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zion Williamson | NO | 23.9 | 5.3 | 5.5 |
| 2 | Karl-Anthony Towns | MIN | 23.7 | 8.6 | 4.6 |
| 3 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 23.7 | 5.0 | 5.8 |
| 4 | CJ McCollum | NO | 20.1 | 4.3 | 5.7 |
| 5 | Rudy Gobert | MIN | 15.4 | 11.1 | 1.3 |
| 6 | Jonas Valanciunas | NO | 14.3 | 9.1 | 2.2 |
| 7 | Herbert Jones | NO | 13.9 | 4.9 | 2.9 |
| 8 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 13.6 | 3.3 | 1.4 |
| 9 | Mike Conley | MIN | 12.1 | 2.9 | 6.7 |
| 10 | Naz Reid | MIN | 11.8 | 4.8 | 1.3 |
| 11 | Nickeil Alexander-Walker | MIN | 10.3 | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| 12 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 10.1 | 3.0 | 1.6 |
| 13 | Jaden McDaniels | MIN | 8.4 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| 14 | Troy Brown Jr. | MIN | 8.0 | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| 15 | Kyle Anderson | MIN | 7.7 | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| 16 | Naji Marshall | NO | 7.3 | 4.8 | 2.0 |
| 17 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 6.4 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| 18 | Shake Milton | MIN | 6.2 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 19 | Dyson Daniels | NO | 5.5 | 3.8 | 2.0 |
| 20 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 4.4 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| 21 | Jordan McLaughlin | MIN | 3.7 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| 22 | Kira Lewis Jr. | NO | 3.3 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| 23 | Wendell Moore Jr. | MIN | 3.1 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| 24 | Cody Zeller | NO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.9 |
| 25 | Daishen Nix | MIN | 2.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 26 | Josh Minott | MIN | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.