NBA games

WSH @ PHI

NBA Xfinity Mobile Arena ·Final
101–146
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
WSH27192134101
PHI43323734146

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHI) / 10 (WSH) games this season
WSH away
home PHI
17% 83%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Kyle Kuzma S 27 21 9 1
Bilal Coulibaly 31 13 8 4
Jared Butler 19 12 0 4
Jordan Poole S 26 11 0 3
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 17 10 4 1
Corey Kispert 23 9 2 1
Deni Avdija S 26 9 6 3
Tyus Jones S 21 9 5 3
Anthony Gill 10 3 4 0
Jules Bernard 6 2 1 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Joel Embiid S 30 34 11 6
Tyrese Maxey S 25 24 1 6
Patrick Beverley 11 12 2 2
Marcus Morris Sr. 12 12 2 1
Tobias Harris S 30 10 4 6
Danuel House Jr. 9 10 1 1
Robert Covington 14 8 4 0
Kelly Oubre Jr. 18 7 5 1
Mo Bamba 8 6 6 2
Jaden Springer 9 6 0 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Tyrese Maxey · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:36 Q1
"Tyrese Maxey makes 28-foot three point jumper (Joel Embiid assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Joel Embiid PHI
32%
2 Tobias Harris PHI
12%
3 Tyrese Maxey PHI
10%
4 Kyle Kuzma WSH
9%
5 Jordan Poole WSH
9%
6 Tyus Jones WSH
7%
7 Deni Avdija WSH
7%
8 De'Anthony Melton PHI
7%
9 Nicolas Batum PHI
6%
10 Mike Muscala WSH
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
0%
Dunk
1%
Free Throw
93%
Jumper
4%
Layup
2%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Joel Embiid PHI 35.5 12.5 7.7
2 Tyrese Maxey PHI 25.6 3.8 6.6
3 Kyle Kuzma WSH 24.3 5.5 6.5
4 Jordan Poole WSH 19.6 3.5 3.6
5 De'Anthony Melton PHI 17.5 4.8 4.0
6 Tobias Harris PHI 16.2 6.1 2.9
7 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI 15.6 4.9 1.6
8 Tyus Jones WSH 13.8 3.6 5.0
9 Deni Avdija WSH 12.9 5.1 3.8
10 Corey Kispert WSH 10.9 2.9 1.6
11 Bilal Coulibaly WSH 10.5 4.1 1.8
12 Nicolas Batum PHI 8.6 4.3 2.3
13 Patrick Beverley PHI 7.8 3.0 3.2
14 Robert Covington PHI 6.8 4.8 1.0
15 Danilo Gallinari WSH 6.7 3.6 1.3
16 Marcus Morris Sr. PHI 5.9 2.7 0.9
17 Paul Reed PHI 5.6 3.9 1.1
18 Eugene Omoruyi WSH 4.5 1.7 0.8
19 Mike Muscala WSH 3.9 2.2 0.9
20 Jared Butler WSH 3.9 1.4 1.5
21 Danuel House Jr. PHI 3.7 1.2 0.8
22 Mo Bamba PHI 3.7 2.8 0.7
23 Jaden Springer PHI 3.3 1.7 0.9
24 Anthony Gill WSH 3.1 2.0 0.5
25 Jules Bernard WSH 3.1 1.6 0.7
26 Patrick Baldwin Jr. WSH 2.4 1.8 0.5
27 KJ Martin PHI 2.3 0.9 0.5
28 Furkan Korkmaz PHI 1.8 0.5 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.