NBA games

GS @ LAC

NBA crypto.com Arena ·Final
112–113
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
GS33342520112
LAC22263728113

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAC) / 10 (GS) games this season
GS away
home LAC
13% 87%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Stephen Curry S 37 22 4 11
Draymond Green S 32 21 9 4
Moses Moody S 32 21 5 2
Klay Thompson S 33 17 6 2
Brandin Podziemski 37 12 6 3
Kevon Looney 18 7 8 3
Jonathan Kuminga 16 6 2 0
Dario Saric S 20 6 2 3
Cory Joseph 16 0 0 3
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Paul George S 38 25 6 6
James Harden S 35 21 5 9
Kawhi Leonard S 39 20 8 7
Daniel Theis 22 12 4 1
Ivica Zubac S 23 12 7 1
Norman Powell 30 12 1 0
Russell Westbrook 19 8 6 2
Terance Mann S 24 3 2 2
Kobe Brown 11 0 1 3

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Draymond Green · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:21 Q1
"Draymond Green makes 26-foot three point jumper (Stephen Curry assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Paul George LAC
17%
2 Kawhi Leonard LAC
12%
3 Ivica Zubac LAC
11%
4 James Harden LAC
9%
5 Moses Moody GS
9%
6 Klay Thompson GS
9%
7 Terance Mann LAC
9%
8 Kevon Looney GS
9%
9 Draymond Green GS
8%
10 Stephen Curry GS
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
22%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
36%
Jumper
17%
Layup
22%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Stephen Curry GS 26.3 5.1 4.8
2 Paul George LAC 24.4 6.2 5.2
3 Kawhi Leonard LAC 22.9 6.2 3.1
4 James Harden LAC 17.8 4.2 6.5
5 Klay Thompson GS 15.5 4.1 2.7
6 Ivica Zubac LAC 12.6 10.3 1.5
7 Dario Saric GS 12.2 5.4 2.7
8 Norman Powell LAC 11.4 2.6 1.3
9 Russell Westbrook LAC 11.2 6.4 4.9
10 Draymond Green GS 10.6 4.9 4.8
11 Xavier Moon LAC 9.8 3.6 3.0
12 Jonathan Kuminga GS 9.7 3.4 1.4
13 Moses Moody GS 8.6 3.7 1.1
14 Terance Mann LAC 8.5 3.9 2.1
15 Brandin Podziemski GS 8.1 4.0 2.0
16 Bones Hyland LAC 7.1 1.7 1.9
17 Kevon Looney GS 6.3 8.2 1.9
18 Daniel Theis LAC 6.2 3.9 1.2
19 Jerome Robinson GS 4.4 2.5 1.0
20 Cory Joseph GS 4.1 1.6 1.9
21 Kobe Brown LAC 3.9 1.8 0.7
22 Moussa Diabate LAC 3.7 2.5 0.6
23 Trayce Jackson-Davis GS 2.9 2.1 0.3
24 Amir Coffey LAC 2.7 1.5 0.6
25 P.J. Tucker LAC 2.6 1.8 0.7

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.