SA @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
106–121
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SA | 31 | 30 | 20 | 25 | 106 |
| NO | 32 | 31 | 26 | 32 | 121 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (SA) games this season
SA
away
home
NO
10%
90%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell | 27 | 14 | 0 | 1 |
| Jeremy Sochan S | 31 | 13 | 3 | 4 |
| Julian Champagnie S | 22 | 12 | 5 | 3 |
| Zach Collins S | 24 | 12 | 5 | 3 |
| Keldon Johnson S | 33 | 11 | 7 | 3 |
| Cedi Osman | 27 | 11 | 2 | 5 |
| Tre Jones | 23 | 10 | 3 | 3 |
| Malaki Branham S | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| Charles Bassey | 19 | 8 | 11 | 3 |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Julian Champagnie ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:38 Q1
"Julian Champagnie makes 23-foot three point shot (Keldon Johnson assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Zion Williamson
NO
15%
2
Jonas Valanciunas
NO
13%
3
Zach Collins
SA
12%
4
Brandon Ingram
NO
12%
5
Keldon Johnson
SA
11%
6
CJ McCollum
NO
10%
7
Jeremy Sochan
SA
9%
8
Herbert Jones
NO
9%
9
Malaki Branham
SA
7%
10
Devin Vassell
SA
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
3%
Dunk
14%
Free Throw
21%
Jumper
17%
Layup
45%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zion Williamson | NO | 25.8 | 6.3 | 6.0 |
| 2 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 25.3 | 5.2 | 5.9 |
| 3 | CJ McCollum | NO | 19.9 | 4.5 | 5.4 |
| 4 | Keldon Johnson | SA | 18.8 | 6.7 | 4.6 |
| 5 | Devin Vassell | SA | 18.0 | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| 6 | Jonas Valanciunas | NO | 16.0 | 9.1 | 3.3 |
| 7 | Zach Collins | SA | 15.8 | 5.7 | 4.0 |
| 8 | Jeremy Sochan | SA | 14.9 | 5.6 | 4.5 |
| 9 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 14.1 | 3.9 | 2.5 |
| 10 | Herbert Jones | NO | 13.1 | 4.4 | 3.8 |
| 11 | Dyson Daniels | NO | 10.4 | 5.4 | 4.4 |
| 12 | Naji Marshall | NO | 9.7 | 4.7 | 2.5 |
| 13 | Malaki Branham | SA | 8.5 | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| 14 | Tre Jones | SA | 8.2 | 2.8 | 4.5 |
| 15 | Cedi Osman | SA | 6.8 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| 16 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 6.7 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| 17 | Julian Champagnie | SA | 6.5 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| 18 | Devonte' Graham | SA | 3.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| 19 | Charles Bassey | SA | 3.2 | 4.0 | 1.0 |
| 20 | Cody Zeller | NO | 3.2 | 3.7 | 1.1 |
| 21 | Sandro Mamukelashvili | SA | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 22 | Kira Lewis Jr. | NO | 3.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| 23 | Blake Wesley | SA | 2.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| 24 | Dominick Barlow | SA | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.