NO @ UTAH
NBA
Delta Center
·Final
112–114
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 24 | 31 | 33 | 24 | 112 |
| UTAH | 32 | 25 | 31 | 26 | 114 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
UTAH
57%
43%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson S | 34 | 26 | 4 | 7 |
| Brandon Ingram S | 35 | 25 | 4 | 5 |
| Naji Marshall | 28 | 14 | 9 | 3 |
| Jonas Valanciunas S | 30 | 14 | 13 | 2 |
| Jordan Hawkins | 25 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| Herbert Jones S | 32 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| Jose Alvarado | 14 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Dyson Daniels S | 24 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Cody Zeller | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
John Collins ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:08 Q1
"John Collins makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jordan Clarkson assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Brandon Ingram
NO
11%
2
Zion Williamson
NO
11%
3
John Collins
UTAH
10%
4
Jonas Valanciunas
NO
10%
5
Jordan Clarkson
UTAH
10%
6
Omer Yurtseven
UTAH
7%
7
Kris Dunn
UTAH
7%
8
Dyson Daniels
NO
7%
9
Keyonte George
UTAH
7%
10
Herbert Jones
NO
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
12%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
18%
Jumper
48%
Layup
18%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 26.2 | 5.0 | 5.9 |
| 2 | Zion Williamson | NO | 25.6 | 6.6 | 5.8 |
| 3 | Jordan Clarkson | UTAH | 22.3 | 3.7 | 5.3 |
| 4 | John Collins | UTAH | 14.9 | 8.0 | 1.3 |
| 5 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 14.7 | 3.7 | 2.6 |
| 6 | Jonas Valanciunas | NO | 14.6 | 8.7 | 2.9 |
| 7 | Herbert Jones | NO | 14.0 | 4.3 | 3.6 |
| 8 | Keyonte George | UTAH | 11.7 | 3.0 | 5.9 |
| 9 | Dyson Daniels | NO | 11.2 | 5.6 | 4.9 |
| 10 | Collin Sexton | UTAH | 11.2 | 3.3 | 4.0 |
| 11 | Talen Horton-Tucker | UTAH | 9.8 | 3.4 | 3.8 |
| 12 | Walker Kessler | UTAH | 9.6 | 8.6 | 1.0 |
| 13 | Kelly Olynyk | UTAH | 9.3 | 6.2 | 4.0 |
| 14 | Naji Marshall | NO | 8.8 | 3.8 | 2.2 |
| 15 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 8.1 | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| 16 | Ochai Agbaji | UTAH | 6.7 | 3.6 | 1.3 |
| 17 | Simone Fontecchio | UTAH | 6.1 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| 18 | Larry Nance Jr. | NO | 4.7 | 3.3 | 0.8 |
| 19 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 4.6 | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| 20 | Omer Yurtseven | UTAH | 4.5 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| 21 | Kris Dunn | UTAH | 4.0 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| 22 | Taylor Hendricks | UTAH | 3.8 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 23 | Cody Zeller | NO | 3.3 | 3.8 | 1.4 |
| 24 | Kira Lewis Jr. | NO | 3.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| 25 | Luka Samanic | UTAH | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.