NO @ UTAH
NBA
Delta Center
·Final
100–105
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 29 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 100 |
| UTAH | 22 | 21 | 25 | 37 | 105 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
UTAH
51%
49%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram S | 37 | 26 | 6 | 8 |
| Jordan Hawkins S | 40 | 25 | 6 | 3 |
| Herbert Jones S | 26 | 13 | 1 | 1 |
| Jose Alvarado | 23 | 13 | 4 | 3 |
| Jonas Valanciunas S | 26 | 8 | 7 | 2 |
| Dyson Daniels S | 34 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| Naji Marshall | 21 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Cody Zeller | 21 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Herbert Jones ·
Layup (2 pts) · 10:00 Q1
"Herbert Jones makes 2-foot two point shot (Jordan Hawkins assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Zion Williamson
NO
15%
2
Brandon Ingram
NO
14%
3
John Collins
UTAH
13%
4
Jonas Valanciunas
NO
11%
5
Walker Kessler
UTAH
11%
6
Kelly Olynyk
UTAH
10%
7
Herbert Jones
NO
9%
8
Dyson Daniels
NO
9%
9
Keyonte George
UTAH
8%
10
Jordan Hawkins
NO
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
1%
Dunk
11%
Free Throw
16%
Jumper
21%
Layup
50%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 26.4 | 4.8 | 5.8 |
| 2 | Zion Williamson | NO | 25.6 | 6.7 | 5.8 |
| 3 | John Collins | UTAH | 15.8 | 8.2 | 1.3 |
| 4 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 14.6 | 3.9 | 2.5 |
| 5 | Jonas Valanciunas | NO | 14.1 | 8.9 | 2.9 |
| 6 | Herbert Jones | NO | 13.2 | 4.7 | 3.6 |
| 7 | Dyson Daniels | NO | 11.1 | 5.3 | 4.2 |
| 8 | Keyonte George | UTAH | 10.9 | 2.8 | 6.0 |
| 9 | Talen Horton-Tucker | UTAH | 10.9 | 3.5 | 4.2 |
| 10 | Collin Sexton | UTAH | 10.4 | 3.1 | 3.7 |
| 11 | Naji Marshall | NO | 8.7 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| 12 | Walker Kessler | UTAH | 8.5 | 7.0 | 0.8 |
| 13 | Kelly Olynyk | UTAH | 8.3 | 5.8 | 4.0 |
| 14 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 6.7 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 15 | Ochai Agbaji | UTAH | 6.4 | 3.4 | 1.1 |
| 16 | Simone Fontecchio | UTAH | 5.7 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 17 | Larry Nance Jr. | NO | 5.6 | 3.6 | 1.1 |
| 18 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 4.8 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| 19 | Omer Yurtseven | UTAH | 4.1 | 2.6 | 0.7 |
| 20 | Kris Dunn | UTAH | 3.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| 21 | Kira Lewis Jr. | NO | 3.1 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| 22 | Luka Samanic | UTAH | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 23 | Cody Zeller | NO | 2.6 | 3.2 | 0.9 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.