SAC @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
112–117
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAC | 30 | 20 | 29 | 33 | 112 |
| NO | 32 | 32 | 29 | 24 | 117 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (SAC) games this season
SAC
away
home
NO
36%
64%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox S | 38 | 26 | 2 | 5 |
| Domantas Sabonis S | 36 | 23 | 9 | 6 |
| Harrison Barnes S | 41 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| Trey Lyles | 28 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| Malik Monk | 26 | 10 | 4 | 5 |
| Kevin Huerter S | 27 | 8 | 7 | 2 |
| Chris Duarte S | 20 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
| Sasha Vezenkov | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Davion Mitchell | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Kessler Edwards | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Jonas Valanciunas ·
Dunk (2 pts) · 11:36 Q1
"Jonas Valanciunas makes dunk (Herbert Jones assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Brandon Ingram
NO
17%
2
De'Aaron Fox
SAC
15%
3
Zion Williamson
NO
14%
4
Jonas Valanciunas
NO
13%
5
Domantas Sabonis
SAC
9%
6
Herbert Jones
NO
8%
7
Kevin Huerter
SAC
8%
8
Dyson Daniels
NO
8%
9
Harrison Barnes
SAC
7%
10
Malik Monk
SAC
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
13%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
13%
Jumper
46%
Layup
24%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De'Aaron Fox | SAC | 27.0 | 4.7 | 5.6 |
| 2 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 24.4 | 5.6 | 5.6 |
| 3 | Zion Williamson | NO | 23.7 | 6.6 | 5.3 |
| 4 | Domantas Sabonis | SAC | 23.6 | 12.2 | 8.0 |
| 5 | Kevin Huerter | SAC | 15.2 | 4.4 | 3.3 |
| 6 | Jonas Valanciunas | NO | 14.6 | 8.9 | 2.8 |
| 7 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 14.3 | 3.9 | 2.1 |
| 8 | Malik Monk | SAC | 13.5 | 3.4 | 5.4 |
| 9 | Herbert Jones | NO | 12.1 | 4.2 | 2.7 |
| 10 | Dyson Daniels | NO | 11.0 | 4.7 | 4.7 |
| 11 | Harrison Barnes | SAC | 10.2 | 3.0 | 1.7 |
| 12 | Naji Marshall | NO | 8.4 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| 13 | Trey Lyles | SAC | 6.7 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| 14 | Davion Mitchell | SAC | 6.6 | 1.9 | 3.1 |
| 15 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 5.8 | 3.2 | 1.3 |
| 16 | JaVale McGee | SAC | 5.8 | 4.3 | 0.8 |
| 17 | Colby Jones | SAC | 5.7 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| 18 | Sasha Vezenkov | SAC | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 19 | Chris Duarte | SAC | 5.2 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| 20 | Kira Lewis Jr. | NO | 3.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| 21 | Filip Petrusev | SAC | 3.7 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 22 | Larry Nance Jr. | NO | 3.6 | 3.1 | 0.7 |
| 23 | Kessler Edwards | SAC | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 24 | Cody Zeller | NO | 2.8 | 3.3 | 0.9 |
| 25 | Jalen Slawson | SAC | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.