SAC @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
93–129
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAC | 31 | 22 | 16 | 24 | 93 |
| NO | 29 | 37 | 34 | 29 | 129 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (SAC) games this season
SAC
away
home
NO
40%
60%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes S | 30 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| De'Aaron Fox S | 29 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| Domantas Sabonis S | 31 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| Kevin Huerter S | 23 | 10 | 0 | 3 |
| JaVale McGee | 13 | 10 | 7 | 1 |
| Colby Jones | 14 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| Malik Monk | 24 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| Keegan Murray S | 16 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Jalen Slawson | 12 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Filip Petrusev | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Zion Williamson ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:31 Q1
"Zion Williamson makes driving layup (Jonas Valanciunas assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Brandon Ingram
NO
13%
2
De'Aaron Fox
SAC
11%
3
Zion Williamson
NO
11%
4
Domantas Sabonis
SAC
10%
5
Jonas Valanciunas
NO
10%
6
Keegan Murray
SAC
8%
7
Herbert Jones
NO
6%
8
Kevin Huerter
SAC
6%
9
Jordan Hawkins
NO
6%
10
Harrison Barnes
SAC
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
9%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
30%
Jumper
30%
Layup
25%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De'Aaron Fox | SAC | 27.4 | 4.9 | 6.2 |
| 2 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 23.8 | 5.7 | 5.7 |
| 3 | Domantas Sabonis | SAC | 23.7 | 12.3 | 7.8 |
| 4 | Zion Williamson | NO | 23.6 | 6.8 | 5.0 |
| 5 | Malik Monk | SAC | 15.5 | 3.7 | 5.4 |
| 6 | Jonas Valanciunas | NO | 15.2 | 8.5 | 2.3 |
| 7 | Kevin Huerter | SAC | 14.4 | 4.5 | 3.1 |
| 8 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 14.3 | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| 9 | Keegan Murray | SAC | 13.8 | 6.0 | 2.5 |
| 10 | Herbert Jones | NO | 11.9 | 4.2 | 2.6 |
| 11 | Dyson Daniels | NO | 11.0 | 5.1 | 4.3 |
| 12 | Harrison Barnes | SAC | 9.9 | 2.9 | 1.9 |
| 13 | Naji Marshall | NO | 7.8 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| 14 | Davion Mitchell | SAC | 7.3 | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| 15 | Sasha Vezenkov | SAC | 5.8 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 16 | Colby Jones | SAC | 5.7 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| 17 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 5.7 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| 18 | JaVale McGee | SAC | 5.6 | 4.0 | 0.8 |
| 19 | Chris Duarte | SAC | 5.3 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| 20 | Larry Nance Jr. | NO | 3.6 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 21 | Kessler Edwards | SAC | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 22 | Filip Petrusev | SAC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 23 | Kira Lewis Jr. | NO | 2.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| 24 | Jalen Slawson | SAC | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 25 | Cody Zeller | NO | 2.3 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.