IND @ PHI
NBA
Xfinity Mobile Arena
·Final
126–137
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND | 27 | 33 | 39 | 27 | 126 |
| PHI | 38 | 31 | 31 | 37 | 137 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHI) / 10 (IND) games this season
IND
away
home
PHI
18%
82%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton S | 37 | 25 | 1 | 17 |
| Myles Turner S | 29 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| Buddy Hield | 21 | 16 | 4 | 3 |
| Obi Toppin S | 21 | 14 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalen Smith | 19 | 11 | 6 | 1 |
| Bruce Brown S | 31 | 9 | 4 | 3 |
| Bennedict Mathurin S | 26 | 9 | 5 | 1 |
| Aaron Nesmith | 26 | 8 | 4 | 3 |
| T.J. McConnell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 1 |
| Andrew Nembhard | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Tyrese Maxey ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:45 Q1
"Tyrese Maxey makes 5-foot driving floating jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Tyrese Maxey
PHI
14%
2
Tobias Harris
PHI
13%
3
Myles Turner
IND
12%
4
Joel Embiid
PHI
11%
5
Tyrese Haliburton
IND
11%
6
Bennedict Mathurin
IND
10%
7
Bruce Brown
IND
10%
8
De'Anthony Melton
PHI
9%
9
Obi Toppin
IND
9%
10
Buddy Hield
IND
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
23%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
16%
Jumper
36%
Layup
19%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joel Embiid | PHI | 33.8 | 11.4 | 5.7 |
| 2 | Tyrese Maxey | PHI | 25.1 | 4.6 | 7.4 |
| 3 | Tyrese Haliburton | IND | 23.6 | 4.1 | 11.2 |
| 4 | Tobias Harris | PHI | 20.5 | 6.5 | 3.4 |
| 5 | Myles Turner | IND | 16.1 | 7.8 | 2.1 |
| 6 | Bennedict Mathurin | IND | 14.1 | 4.1 | 3.0 |
| 7 | Buddy Hield | IND | 12.4 | 3.8 | 3.0 |
| 8 | De'Anthony Melton | PHI | 11.8 | 3.8 | 4.5 |
| 9 | Bruce Brown | IND | 11.5 | 4.2 | 2.5 |
| 10 | Aaron Nesmith | IND | 10.3 | 3.4 | 1.3 |
| 11 | Andrew Nembhard | IND | 9.3 | 2.3 | 4.0 |
| 12 | Obi Toppin | IND | 9.1 | 3.8 | 1.0 |
| 13 | Jalen Smith | IND | 8.9 | 6.0 | 1.1 |
| 14 | T.J. McConnell | IND | 6.2 | 2.1 | 4.1 |
| 15 | Paul Reed | PHI | 5.9 | 5.0 | 1.0 |
| 16 | Nicolas Batum | PHI | 5.6 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| 17 | Jaden Springer | PHI | 5.4 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| 18 | Ben Sheppard | IND | 5.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| 19 | Robert Covington | PHI | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 20 | Furkan Korkmaz | PHI | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| 21 | Jarace Walker | IND | 4.7 | 3.1 | 1.3 |
| 22 | Patrick Beverley | PHI | 4.7 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| 23 | Isaiah Jackson | IND | 4.2 | 3.5 | 0.6 |
| 24 | KJ Martin | PHI | 3.7 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 25 | Jordan Nwora | IND | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 26 | Danuel House Jr. | PHI | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 27 | Mo Bamba | PHI | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.