TOR @ BOS
NBA
TD Garden
·Final
94–117
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 26 | 20 | 25 | 23 | 94 |
| BOS | 30 | 25 | 33 | 29 | 117 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BOS) / 10 (TOR) games this season
TOR
away
home
BOS
15%
85%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam S | 28 | 17 | 7 | 3 |
| Dennis Schroder S | 25 | 14 | 1 | 4 |
| Jakob Poeltl S | 21 | 12 | 3 | 2 |
| Malachi Flynn | 23 | 12 | 1 | 1 |
| Scottie Barnes S | 29 | 10 | 5 | 4 |
| OG Anunoby S | 28 | 8 | 3 | 2 |
| Chris Boucher | 22 | 6 | 5 | 1 |
| Gradey Dick | 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Thaddeus Young | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Otto Porter Jr. | 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Jakob Poeltl ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:43 Q1
"Jakob Poeltl makes 1-foot two point shot (Pascal Siakam assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jaylen Brown
BOS
13%
2
Kristaps Porzingis
BOS
11%
3
Pascal Siakam
TOR
10%
4
Scottie Barnes
TOR
10%
5
OG Anunoby
TOR
10%
6
Dennis Schroder
TOR
10%
7
Jakob Poeltl
TOR
9%
8
Derrick White
BOS
9%
9
Jayson Tatum
BOS
9%
10
Jrue Holiday
BOS
8%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
30%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
17%
Jumper
28%
Layup
20%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jayson Tatum | BOS | 26.0 | 8.9 | 4.5 |
| 2 | Scottie Barnes | TOR | 22.7 | 9.8 | 5.1 |
| 3 | Jaylen Brown | BOS | 22.3 | 5.0 | 3.7 |
| 4 | Pascal Siakam | TOR | 19.8 | 6.7 | 4.3 |
| 5 | Kristaps Porzingis | BOS | 18.1 | 6.8 | 1.7 |
| 6 | Dennis Schroder | TOR | 17.1 | 3.4 | 7.5 |
| 7 | OG Anunoby | TOR | 15.3 | 4.1 | 2.2 |
| 8 | Jrue Holiday | BOS | 14.0 | 7.3 | 5.3 |
| 9 | Derrick White | BOS | 13.9 | 4.3 | 3.5 |
| 10 | Jakob Poeltl | TOR | 9.6 | 8.4 | 1.5 |
| 11 | Sam Hauser | BOS | 7.6 | 2.9 | 0.9 |
| 12 | Precious Achiuwa | TOR | 6.8 | 6.4 | 1.4 |
| 13 | Chris Boucher | TOR | 6.2 | 4.5 | 0.7 |
| 14 | Al Horford | BOS | 6.2 | 5.0 | 1.8 |
| 15 | Payton Pritchard | BOS | 6.1 | 2.6 | 3.5 |
| 16 | Dalano Banton | BOS | 5.5 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 17 | Svi Mykhailiuk | BOS | 5.4 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 18 | Malachi Flynn | TOR | 5.3 | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| 19 | Gradey Dick | TOR | 4.9 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| 20 | Otto Porter Jr. | TOR | 4.7 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 21 | Oshae Brissett | BOS | 4.2 | 3.2 | 0.7 |
| 22 | Luke Kornet | BOS | 3.8 | 3.0 | 0.8 |
| 23 | Lamar Stevens | BOS | 3.7 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| 24 | Jalen McDaniels | TOR | 3.3 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Thaddeus Young | TOR | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 26 | Garrett Temple | TOR | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.