NBA games

LAC @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
93–100
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
LAC2128222293
BKN13332727100

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (LAC) games this season
LAC away
home BKN
39% 61%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Paul George S 39 24 7 1
Kawhi Leonard S 36 17 6 2
Russell Westbrook S 31 13 7 8
James Harden S 36 12 8 5
Norman Powell 22 10 1 1
Ivica Zubac S 29 10 10 1
Bones Hyland 6 4 2 0
P.J. Tucker 21 3 6 3
Terance Mann 19 0 4 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Lonnie Walker IV 28 21 1 0
Cam Thomas S 20 14 2 0
Dorian Finney-Smith S 35 12 9 2
Royce O'Neale S 34 12 10 2
Day'Ron Sharpe 19 11 10 0
Mikal Bridges S 34 10 8 7
Trendon Watford 19 9 5 2
Spencer Dinwiddie S 26 7 3 4
Dennis Smith Jr. 25 4 1 5

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Ivica Zubac · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:43 Q1
"Ivica Zubac makes 6-foot two point shot (Russell Westbrook assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Mikal Bridges BKN
15%
2 Cam Thomas BKN
15%
3 Ivica Zubac LAC
13%
4 Kawhi Leonard LAC
10%
5 Paul George LAC
10%
6 Russell Westbrook LAC
10%
7 Terance Mann LAC
10%
8 Spencer Dinwiddie BKN
9%
9 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN
8%
10 Bones Hyland LAC
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
27%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
19%
Jumper
26%
Layup
23%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Cam Thomas BKN 22.9 4.2 2.8
2 Paul George LAC 21.5 5.0 3.9
3 Mikal Bridges BKN 20.3 4.8 3.8
4 Kawhi Leonard LAC 18.6 4.7 3.7
5 Russell Westbrook LAC 15.2 7.1 6.3
6 Lonnie Walker IV BKN 14.2 3.2 2.0
7 Bones Hyland LAC 14.0 3.1 3.7
8 Norman Powell LAC 11.8 2.7 1.7
9 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN 10.9 4.3 1.6
10 Spencer Dinwiddie BKN 10.5 2.8 4.7
11 Ivica Zubac LAC 9.3 7.1 0.9
12 Royce O'Neale BKN 9.3 5.5 2.9
13 Trendon Watford BKN 7.1 3.4 1.6
14 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 6.1 5.9 0.6
15 Terance Mann LAC 5.4 2.6 0.8
16 Kobe Brown LAC 4.6 2.3 0.8
17 Dennis Smith Jr. BKN 4.5 1.7 1.1
18 Armoni Brooks BKN 4.0 1.2 0.5
19 Moussa Diabate LAC 3.8 3.0 0.6
20 P.J. Tucker LAC 3.7 3.5 0.8
21 Amir Coffey LAC 3.6 1.4 1.0
22 Jalen Wilson BKN 1.8 0.7 0.3

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.