NBA games

LAC @ LAL

NBA crypto.com Arena ·Final
125–130
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4Q5T
LAC372424328125
LAL2424393013130

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAL) / 8 (LAC) games this season
LAC away
home LAL
63% 37%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Kawhi Leonard S 41 38 6 5
Paul George S 37 35 6 1
Russell Westbrook S 44 24 11 8
Norman Powell 35 12 2 3
Ivica Zubac S 29 7 9 0
Mason Plumlee 19 5 6 0
Bones Hyland S 34 4 1 5
P.J. Tucker 21 0 5 0
Kobe Brown 6 0 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
LeBron James S 42 35 12 7
D'Angelo Russell S 36 27 2 6
Anthony Davis S 48 27 10 3
Austin Reaves S 38 15 7 7
Christian Wood 29 10 11 0
Cam Reddish S 37 8 4 4
Max Christie 22 5 3 0
Jaxson Hayes 14 3 2 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Cam Reddish · Layup (2 pts) · 10:58 Q1
"Cam Reddish makes two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 LeBron James LAL
12%
2 Anthony Davis LAL
11%
3 D'Angelo Russell LAL
11%
4 Ivica Zubac LAC
10%
5 Bones Hyland LAC
9%
6 Paul George LAC
9%
7 Russell Westbrook LAC
8%
8 Kawhi Leonard LAC
8%
9 Austin Reaves LAL
7%
10 Taurean Prince LAL
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
23%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
12%
Jumper
40%
Layup
18%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Paul George LAC 23.1 4.7 4.4
2 LeBron James LAL 20.9 6.8 5.9
3 Anthony Davis LAL 20.3 9.3 2.8
4 Kawhi Leonard LAC 17.6 4.7 3.6
5 Bones Hyland LAC 17.5 3.6 3.5
6 D'Angelo Russell LAL 16.8 3.5 6.0
7 Austin Reaves LAL 13.5 3.9 3.0
8 Russell Westbrook LAC 12.4 6.5 6.1
9 Norman Powell LAC 11.3 2.8 1.8
10 Ivica Zubac LAC 9.0 7.2 0.8
11 Taurean Prince LAL 8.7 2.4 1.1
12 Christian Wood LAL 8.2 5.7 1.2
13 Mason Plumlee LAC 5.9 5.6 1.3
14 Kobe Brown LAC 5.8 3.0 0.9
15 Max Christie LAL 5.7 2.1 1.0
16 Cam Reddish LAL 4.6 2.5 0.9
17 Amir Coffey LAC 4.4 1.6 1.1
18 Jaxson Hayes LAL 4.4 3.1 1.0
19 Moussa Diabate LAC 4.1 3.9 0.7
20 P.J. Tucker LAC 3.9 3.9 1.0
21 Jordan Miller LAC 3.3 1.5 0.7
22 Maxwell Lewis LAL 3.1 0.7 0.9
23 Colin Castleton LAL 3.1 4.5 0.4
24 D'Moi Hodge LAL 2.7 1.1 0.3
25 Alex Fudge LAL 1.4 1.2 0.2

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.