NBA games

MEM @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
109–133
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
MEM19273330109
UTAH42372529133

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 9 (UTAH) / 9 (MEM) games this season
MEM away
home UTAH
29% 71%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Desmond Bane S 27 21 3 0
Jaren Jackson Jr. S 26 19 8 2
Vince Williams Jr. 16 12 2 3
Kenneth Lofton Jr. 19 12 5 2
Marcus Smart S 28 11 2 6
David Roddy 24 9 3 1
Ziaire Williams S 19 8 4 0
John Konchar 18 7 7 2
Jake LaRavia 9 4 0 0
Luke Kennard 21 3 1 3
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Collin Sexton 22 23 3 6
Jordan Clarkson S 26 20 6 5
Lauri Markkanen S 28 19 11 1
John Collins S 27 16 4 2
Kelly Olynyk 26 14 8 5
Talen Horton-Tucker S 23 9 5 7
Keyonte George 23 9 1 3
Ochai Agbaji 18 6 3 1
Kris Dunn 13 5 1 3
Simone Fontecchio 8 5 1 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Lauri Markkanen · Free Throw (1 pts) · 11:47 Q1
"Lauri Markkanen makes technical free throw"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
19%
2 Jaren Jackson Jr. MEM
12%
3 Marcus Smart MEM
10%
4 Desmond Bane MEM
10%
5 Walker Kessler UTAH
9%
6 Jordan Clarkson UTAH
9%
7 John Collins UTAH
9%
8 Talen Horton-Tucker UTAH
8%
9 Xavier Tillman MEM
7%
10 Ziaire Williams MEM
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
32%
Dunk
9%
Free Throw
24%
Jumper
21%
Layup
15%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Desmond Bane MEM 24.7 4.5 4.5
2 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 21.4 9.0 2.3
3 Marcus Smart MEM 18.8 3.3 6.1
4 Jaren Jackson Jr. MEM 17.0 6.4 2.4
5 Talen Horton-Tucker UTAH 13.9 3.6 5.0
6 Jordan Clarkson UTAH 13.2 3.5 4.5
7 John Collins UTAH 12.4 6.8 1.5
8 Ziaire Williams MEM 12.3 5.1 1.7
9 Collin Sexton UTAH 11.6 2.6 2.9
10 David Roddy MEM 10.0 4.3 1.9
11 Xavier Tillman MEM 9.9 6.9 1.8
12 Keyonte George UTAH 9.8 2.7 3.4
13 Walker Kessler UTAH 9.3 7.2 1.2
14 Kelly Olynyk UTAH 7.0 4.3 3.4
15 Jake LaRavia MEM 6.6 2.8 1.0
16 Kris Dunn UTAH 6.5 2.2 2.7
17 Kenneth Lofton Jr. MEM 6.3 2.3 1.4
18 Ochai Agbaji UTAH 6.1 2.7 1.1
19 John Konchar MEM 5.7 4.8 1.2
20 Simone Fontecchio UTAH 5.5 2.1 1.2
21 Vince Williams Jr. MEM 5.4 3.8 0.9
22 Jacob Gilyard MEM 4.8 2.0 4.1
23 Luke Kennard MEM 4.5 1.2 1.3
24 Luka Samanic UTAH 3.5 1.6 0.7
25 Omer Yurtseven UTAH 3.3 3.4 0.6
26 Taylor Hendricks UTAH 2.9 1.7 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.