NBA games

NY @ CLE

NBA Rocket Arena ·Final
10991
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
NY28302823109
CLE2428162391

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 7 (CLE) / 7 (NY) games this season
NY away
home CLE
50% 50%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Julius Randle S 31 19 10 2
Jalen Brunson S 34 19 5 2
Immanuel Quickley 24 18 3 2
RJ Barrett S 25 16 3 0
Isaiah Hartenstein 23 13 7 1
Mitchell Robinson S 22 8 7 0
Quentin Grimes S 22 5 1 1
Josh Hart 28 5 7 3
Donte DiVincenzo 15 3 2 6
Miles McBride 4 3 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Donovan Mitchell S 29 26 3 3
Georges Niang 24 11 3 1
Isaac Okoro S 25 11 7 0
Craig Porter Jr. 22 10 4 2
Emoni Bates 23 9 6 1
Max Strus S 33 6 3 3
Evan Mobley S 29 6 12 5
Sam Merrill 14 6 1 2
Tristan Thompson 19 4 2 1
Damian Jones 5 2 1 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Donovan Mitchell CLE
14%
2 Evan Mobley CLE
14%
3 RJ Barrett NY
12%
4 Jalen Brunson NY
12%
5 Mitchell Robinson NY
10%
6 Julius Randle NY
8%
7 Isaac Okoro CLE
8%
8 Quentin Grimes NY
7%
9 Dean Wade CLE
7%
10 Max Strus CLE
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
21%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
9%
Jumper
22%
Layup
40%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Donovan Mitchell CLE 25.0 5.1 4.5
2 RJ Barrett NY 21.1 4.0 3.3
3 Immanuel Quickley NY 16.7 3.5 3.4
4 Jalen Brunson NY 16.6 3.3 4.5
5 Evan Mobley CLE 16.3 9.8 1.8
6 Julius Randle NY 14.8 9.0 4.1
7 Max Strus CLE 14.2 6.0 3.6
8 Isaac Okoro CLE 11.3 4.3 2.8
9 Mitchell Robinson NY 9.1 9.1 1.0
10 Miles McBride NY 8.6 1.9 3.2
11 Dean Wade CLE 8.3 4.0 1.3
12 Isaiah Hartenstein NY 7.9 4.4 1.6
13 Quentin Grimes NY 7.8 1.8 1.5
14 Donte DiVincenzo NY 7.7 2.8 1.8
15 Evan Fournier NY 7.4 2.0 0.7
16 Emoni Bates CLE 6.5 2.1 0.7
17 Georges Niang CLE 5.6 2.9 1.2
18 Josh Hart NY 5.4 4.3 1.3
19 Craig Porter Jr. CLE 3.9 1.4 1.5
20 DaQuan Jeffries NY 3.7 0.9 0.8
21 Isaiah Mobley CLE 3.5 2.5 0.8
22 Damian Jones CLE 3.4 2.9 0.6
23 Jericho Sims NY 3.0 3.9 0.9
24 Sam Merrill CLE 3.0 1.4 0.9
25 Tristan Thompson CLE 2.5 3.3 1.1

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.