ORL @ LAL
NBA
crypto.com Arena
·Final
103–106
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORL | 24 | 34 | 22 | 23 | 103 |
| LAL | 29 | 25 | 27 | 25 | 106 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 9 (LAL) / 6 (ORL) games this season
ORL
away
home
LAL
20%
80%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris | 21 | 17 | 3 | 3 |
| Franz Wagner S | 37 | 16 | 8 | 4 |
| Jalen Suggs S | 26 | 15 | 8 | 2 |
| Markelle Fultz S | 33 | 14 | 4 | 8 |
| Cole Anthony | 21 | 12 | 3 | 2 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. S | 35 | 10 | 8 | 1 |
| Paolo Banchero S | 30 | 9 | 5 | 5 |
| Moritz Wagner | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Jonathan Isaac | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Joe Ingles | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Jalen Suggs ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:35 Q1
"Jalen Suggs makes 27-foot three point jumper (Franz Wagner assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Anthony Davis
LAL
13%
2
LeBron James
LAL
12%
3
D'Angelo Russell
LAL
11%
4
Franz Wagner
ORL
11%
5
Paolo Banchero
ORL
11%
6
Markelle Fultz
ORL
10%
7
Wendell Carter Jr.
ORL
9%
8
Jalen Suggs
ORL
8%
9
Austin Reaves
LAL
8%
10
Taurean Prince
LAL
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
21%
Dunk
8%
Free Throw
18%
Jumper
25%
Layup
28%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LeBron James | LAL | 21.0 | 7.2 | 6.0 |
| 2 | Anthony Davis | LAL | 18.2 | 9.6 | 2.4 |
| 3 | Franz Wagner | ORL | 18.1 | 4.3 | 3.0 |
| 4 | D'Angelo Russell | LAL | 15.4 | 3.6 | 5.8 |
| 5 | Austin Reaves | LAL | 13.7 | 3.7 | 2.8 |
| 6 | Cole Anthony | ORL | 12.9 | 4.6 | 3.1 |
| 7 | Paolo Banchero | ORL | 10.9 | 5.1 | 3.5 |
| 8 | Wendell Carter Jr. | ORL | 10.5 | 6.5 | 2.1 |
| 9 | Moritz Wagner | ORL | 9.8 | 4.3 | 1.0 |
| 10 | Markelle Fultz | ORL | 9.5 | 3.7 | 3.9 |
| 11 | Gabe Vincent | LAL | 9.2 | 1.7 | 2.5 |
| 12 | Taurean Prince | LAL | 8.6 | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| 13 | Jalen Suggs | ORL | 8.0 | 3.8 | 1.5 |
| 14 | Christian Wood | LAL | 7.5 | 5.2 | 1.0 |
| 15 | Gary Harris | ORL | 6.3 | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| 16 | Max Christie | LAL | 6.0 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 17 | Jett Howard | ORL | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 18 | Caleb Houstan | ORL | 5.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 19 | Goga Bitadze | ORL | 5.3 | 3.4 | 0.8 |
| 20 | Cam Reddish | LAL | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 21 | Jaxson Hayes | LAL | 4.6 | 3.1 | 1.0 |
| 22 | Jonathan Isaac | ORL | 4.2 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 23 | Joe Ingles | ORL | 3.9 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| 24 | Anthony Black | ORL | 3.9 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| 25 | Maxwell Lewis | LAL | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| 26 | Colin Castleton | LAL | 3.2 | 4.4 | 0.3 |
| 27 | Chuma Okeke | ORL | 2.9 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 28 | D'Moi Hodge | LAL | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.