NY @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
87–96
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY | 12 | 25 | 31 | 19 | 87 |
| NO | 26 | 29 | 22 | 19 | 96 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 5 (NO) / 6 (NY) games this season
NY
away
home
NO
36%
64%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett S | 30 | 18 | 3 | 2 |
| Jalen Brunson S | 31 | 14 | 4 | 5 |
| Julius Randle S | 34 | 10 | 12 | 4 |
| Immanuel Quickley | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1 |
| Mitchell Robinson S | 29 | 8 | 15 | 0 |
| DaQuan Jeffries | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Quentin Grimes S | 27 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 20 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Dylan Windler | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
RJ Barrett ·
Layup (2 pts) · 10:32 Q1
"RJ Barrett makes driving layup (Julius Randle assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Zion Williamson
NO
14%
2
Brandon Ingram
NO
13%
3
RJ Barrett
NY
11%
4
Mitchell Robinson
NY
10%
5
Jonas Valanciunas
NO
9%
6
Julius Randle
NY
9%
7
Jalen Brunson
NY
9%
8
CJ McCollum
NO
9%
9
Herbert Jones
NO
8%
10
Quentin Grimes
NY
8%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
1%
Dunk
66%
Free Throw
5%
Jumper
6%
Layup
20%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RJ Barrett | NY | 21.9 | 4.1 | 3.7 |
| 2 | Immanuel Quickley | NY | 18.9 | 3.8 | 4.1 |
| 3 | Jalen Brunson | NY | 16.7 | 3.2 | 4.5 |
| 4 | Zion Williamson | NO | 16.3 | 5.1 | 3.7 |
| 5 | CJ McCollum | NO | 16.0 | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| 6 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 15.5 | 5.7 | 4.4 |
| 7 | Julius Randle | NY | 15.3 | 8.3 | 4.1 |
| 8 | Miles McBride | NY | 9.8 | 1.9 | 3.7 |
| 9 | Dyson Daniels | NO | 9.6 | 4.5 | 2.0 |
| 10 | Isaiah Hartenstein | NY | 9.3 | 5.0 | 1.9 |
| 11 | Mitchell Robinson | NY | 9.2 | 9.4 | 1.0 |
| 12 | Quentin Grimes | NY | 8.7 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| 13 | Donte DiVincenzo | NY | 8.6 | 2.9 | 2.0 |
| 14 | Jonas Valanciunas | NO | 8.6 | 7.6 | 1.5 |
| 15 | Herbert Jones | NO | 8.5 | 4.1 | 1.5 |
| 16 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 8.5 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 17 | Evan Fournier | NY | 7.8 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 18 | Kira Lewis Jr. | NO | 6.8 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| 19 | Josh Hart | NY | 6.2 | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| 20 | Matt Ryan | NO | 5.1 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| 21 | E.J. Liddell | NO | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 22 | DaQuan Jeffries | NY | 3.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| 23 | Jericho Sims | NY | 3.2 | 4.6 | 1.0 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.