NO @ LAC
NBA
crypto.com Arena
·Final
116–106
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 36 | 20 | 29 | 31 | 116 |
| LAC | 23 | 32 | 28 | 23 | 106 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAC) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
LAC
42%
58%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson S | 34 | 32 | 6 | 5 |
| Brandon Ingram S | 35 | 30 | 4 | 5 |
| Herbert Jones S | 24 | 14 | 4 | 4 |
| Jonas Valanciunas S | 28 | 12 | 8 | 4 |
| Jordan Hawkins | 20 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
| Dyson Daniels S | 36 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| Naji Marshall | 27 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| Jose Alvarado | 16 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 20 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Brandon Ingram ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:29 Q1
"Brandon Ingram makes 19-foot pullup jump shot (Jonas Valanciunas assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Zion Williamson
NO
13%
2
Brandon Ingram
NO
12%
3
Paul George
LAC
11%
4
Kawhi Leonard
LAC
11%
5
James Harden
LAC
11%
6
Ivica Zubac
LAC
10%
7
Jonas Valanciunas
NO
9%
8
Herbert Jones
NO
8%
9
Terance Mann
LAC
8%
10
Dyson Daniels
NO
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
1%
Dunk
10%
Free Throw
19%
Jumper
41%
Layup
29%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 24.4 | 5.2 | 5.3 |
| 2 | Paul George | LAC | 24.2 | 6.3 | 4.3 |
| 3 | Zion Williamson | NO | 23.8 | 6.6 | 5.3 |
| 4 | Kawhi Leonard | LAC | 21.9 | 5.0 | 3.6 |
| 5 | James Harden | LAC | 18.6 | 4.9 | 6.3 |
| 6 | Russell Westbrook | LAC | 15.0 | 6.1 | 5.5 |
| 7 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 14.7 | 4.0 | 2.3 |
| 8 | Jonas Valanciunas | NO | 13.3 | 8.9 | 2.4 |
| 9 | Bones Hyland | LAC | 12.3 | 2.4 | 3.2 |
| 10 | Norman Powell | LAC | 12.1 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| 11 | Herbert Jones | NO | 12.0 | 4.6 | 2.9 |
| 12 | Dyson Daniels | NO | 10.6 | 4.7 | 3.8 |
| 13 | Ivica Zubac | LAC | 10.5 | 8.8 | 1.3 |
| 14 | Naji Marshall | NO | 8.6 | 3.4 | 2.2 |
| 15 | Terance Mann | LAC | 6.6 | 4.3 | 2.0 |
| 16 | Daniel Theis | LAC | 6.1 | 4.6 | 1.2 |
| 17 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 4.7 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| 18 | Larry Nance Jr. | NO | 4.7 | 3.4 | 0.9 |
| 19 | P.J. Tucker | LAC | 3.7 | 2.8 | 0.8 |
| 20 | Kobe Brown | LAC | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 21 | Moussa Diabate | LAC | 3.5 | 3.1 | 0.5 |
| 22 | Amir Coffey | LAC | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| 23 | Kira Lewis Jr. | NO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| 24 | Cody Zeller | NO | 2.8 | 3.3 | 0.8 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.