NBA games

UTAH @ LAL

NBA crypto.com Arena ·Final
99–131
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH1724342499
LAL32304029131

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAL) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home LAL
29% 71%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Omer Yurtseven 17 18 6 1
John Collins S 25 15 4 1
Collin Sexton 22 14 3 4
Simone Fontecchio 27 11 4 0
Lauri Markkanen S 23 10 8 0
Keyonte George S 21 9 3 2
Jordan Clarkson S 24 7 0 2
Talen Horton-Tucker 23 6 3 7
Kris Dunn 8 5 0 2
Kelly Olynyk 24 4 5 5
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Anthony Davis S 29 26 16 4
D'Angelo Russell S 26 20 3 8
Austin Reaves 26 19 5 5
LeBron James S 24 17 7 9
Christian Wood 27 16 8 2
Rui Hachimura 28 12 6 1
Jaxson Hayes 19 10 2 1
Max Christie 25 7 5 4
Taurean Prince S 31 4 0 1
Cam Reddish S 5 0 0 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
LeBron James · Dunk (2 pts) · 11:16 Q1
"LeBron James makes dunk (D'Angelo Russell assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Jordan Clarkson UTAH
17%
2 Anthony Davis LAL
12%
3 D'Angelo Russell LAL
12%
4 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
11%
5 John Collins UTAH
10%
6 LeBron James LAL
10%
7 Taurean Prince LAL
7%
8 Cam Reddish LAL
7%
9 Ochai Agbaji UTAH
6%
10 Keyonte George UTAH
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
27%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
15%
Jumper
30%
Layup
21%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 LeBron James LAL 28.4 7.4 7.1
2 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 23.3 8.7 1.8
3 Jordan Clarkson UTAH 22.8 4.3 5.5
4 Anthony Davis LAL 22.8 12.4 3.8
5 D'Angelo Russell LAL 19.9 4.0 6.3
6 Austin Reaves LAL 17.2 5.5 6.2
7 John Collins UTAH 16.1 8.0 1.4
8 Talen Horton-Tucker UTAH 13.0 4.1 5.1
9 Collin Sexton UTAH 12.6 3.3 3.8
10 Rui Hachimura LAL 11.7 3.8 1.6
11 Cam Reddish LAL 10.5 3.1 1.7
12 Keyonte George UTAH 10.0 2.7 5.7
13 Taurean Prince LAL 9.7 2.6 1.6
14 Kelly Olynyk UTAH 8.0 5.7 4.0
15 Christian Wood LAL 7.0 5.1 1.2
16 Ochai Agbaji UTAH 6.3 3.6 1.2
17 Jalen Hood-Schifino LAL 5.8 3.5 4.0
18 Simone Fontecchio UTAH 5.3 2.1 0.8
19 Kris Dunn UTAH 4.2 1.8 2.1
20 Max Christie LAL 3.6 2.1 0.7
21 Jaxson Hayes LAL 3.3 2.0 0.7
22 Luka Samanic UTAH 2.7 1.2 0.5
23 Omer Yurtseven UTAH 2.6 1.9 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.