IND @ PHI
NBA
Xfinity Mobile Arena
·Final
132–126
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND | 36 | 27 | 32 | 37 | 132 |
| PHI | 30 | 24 | 40 | 32 | 126 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHI) / 10 (IND) games this season
IND
away
home
PHI
42%
58%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton S | 38 | 33 | 7 | 15 |
| Obi Toppin S | 37 | 27 | 6 | 1 |
| Myles Turner S | 19 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| Bruce Brown S | 36 | 14 | 5 | 3 |
| T.J. McConnell | 13 | 11 | 3 | 3 |
| Bennedict Mathurin S | 16 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah Jackson | 17 | 7 | 9 | 2 |
| Aaron Nesmith | 22 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| Jalen Smith | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| Andrew Nembhard | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Bennedict Mathurin ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:27 Q1
"Bennedict Mathurin makes 26-foot step back jumpshot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Joel Embiid
PHI
13%
2
Tobias Harris
PHI
13%
3
Myles Turner
IND
13%
4
Tyrese Maxey
PHI
11%
5
Tyrese Haliburton
IND
11%
6
Bennedict Mathurin
IND
11%
7
De'Anthony Melton
PHI
10%
8
Obi Toppin
IND
9%
9
Bruce Brown
IND
8%
10
Buddy Hield
IND
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
1%
Free Throw
84%
Jumper
9%
Layup
4%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joel Embiid | PHI | 33.5 | 11.1 | 5.7 |
| 2 | Tyrese Maxey | PHI | 27.5 | 5.0 | 7.4 |
| 3 | Tyrese Haliburton | IND | 24.4 | 3.9 | 12.0 |
| 4 | Tobias Harris | PHI | 20.7 | 6.6 | 3.6 |
| 5 | Myles Turner | IND | 17.6 | 7.6 | 1.9 |
| 6 | Bennedict Mathurin | IND | 13.8 | 4.5 | 2.7 |
| 7 | Buddy Hield | IND | 12.2 | 3.7 | 3.1 |
| 8 | Bruce Brown | IND | 11.7 | 4.3 | 2.5 |
| 9 | De'Anthony Melton | PHI | 11.6 | 3.6 | 4.0 |
| 10 | Aaron Nesmith | IND | 10.5 | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| 11 | Jalen Smith | IND | 9.3 | 5.9 | 1.3 |
| 12 | Andrew Nembhard | IND | 8.8 | 2.3 | 3.9 |
| 13 | Obi Toppin | IND | 8.7 | 3.1 | 1.0 |
| 14 | T.J. McConnell | IND | 7.1 | 2.5 | 4.3 |
| 15 | Paul Reed | PHI | 5.4 | 5.0 | 1.2 |
| 16 | Ben Sheppard | IND | 4.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 17 | Robert Covington | PHI | 4.6 | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 18 | Jaden Springer | PHI | 4.4 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| 19 | Jarace Walker | IND | 4.3 | 3.0 | 1.3 |
| 20 | Patrick Beverley | PHI | 4.3 | 3.0 | 1.7 |
| 21 | Furkan Korkmaz | PHI | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 22 | KJ Martin | PHI | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 23 | Danuel House Jr. | PHI | 3.6 | 1.9 | 1.0 |
| 24 | Isaiah Jackson | IND | 3.3 | 3.1 | 0.3 |
| 25 | Jordan Nwora | IND | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| 26 | Mo Bamba | PHI | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.