NY @ MIL
NBA
Fiserv Forum
·Final
105–110
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY | 25 | 21 | 30 | 29 | 105 |
| MIL | 21 | 35 | 26 | 28 | 110 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 9 (MIL) / 9 (NY) games this season
NY
away
home
MIL
36%
64%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson S | 42 | 45 | 5 | 4 |
| Quentin Grimes S | 34 | 17 | 4 | 2 |
| Julius Randle S | 39 | 16 | 12 | 5 |
| Immanuel Quickley | 22 | 14 | 3 | 1 |
| Josh Hart S | 36 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 18 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 18 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Mitchell Robinson S | 29 | 0 | 15 | 1 |
| Miles McBride | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Jalen Brunson ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:40 Q1
"Jalen Brunson makes 18-foot step back jumpshot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Giannis Antetokounmpo
MIL
15%
2
Damian Lillard
MIL
14%
3
Jalen Brunson
NY
13%
4
Mitchell Robinson
NY
10%
5
Khris Middleton
MIL
9%
6
Brook Lopez
MIL
9%
7
Julius Randle
NY
9%
8
Josh Hart
NY
8%
9
Quentin Grimes
NY
7%
10
Malik Beasley
MIL
5%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
9%
Free Throw
10%
Jumper
51%
Layup
29%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 23.5 | 9.5 | 3.2 |
| 2 | Damian Lillard | MIL | 20.5 | 4.2 | 4.4 |
| 3 | Jalen Brunson | NY | 20.3 | 4.0 | 4.5 |
| 4 | Immanuel Quickley | NY | 17.6 | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| 5 | Julius Randle | NY | 15.3 | 8.8 | 4.0 |
| 6 | Malik Beasley | MIL | 10.9 | 3.1 | 2.0 |
| 7 | Brook Lopez | MIL | 10.1 | 3.8 | 1.1 |
| 8 | Mitchell Robinson | NY | 9.5 | 9.8 | 0.9 |
| 9 | Jae Crowder | MIL | 8.9 | 3.9 | 2.0 |
| 10 | Bobby Portis | MIL | 8.9 | 6.4 | 1.6 |
| 11 | Donte DiVincenzo | NY | 8.7 | 2.9 | 2.1 |
| 12 | MarJon Beauchamp | MIL | 8.4 | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| 13 | Quentin Grimes | NY | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 14 | Evan Fournier | NY | 7.8 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 15 | Isaiah Hartenstein | NY | 7.6 | 4.8 | 1.7 |
| 16 | Pat Connaughton | MIL | 7.1 | 4.1 | 1.9 |
| 17 | Khris Middleton | MIL | 7.0 | 2.2 | 3.4 |
| 18 | Josh Hart | NY | 6.9 | 5.0 | 1.8 |
| 19 | Miles McBride | NY | 6.7 | 1.4 | 2.3 |
| 20 | Cameron Payne | MIL | 5.5 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| 21 | Thanasis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 5.0 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 22 | Chris Livingston | MIL | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 23 | Andre Jackson Jr. | MIL | 4.7 | 3.4 | 1.6 |
| 24 | AJ Green | MIL | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| 25 | DaQuan Jeffries | NY | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 26 | Robin Lopez | MIL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 27 | Jericho Sims | NY | 2.8 | 3.6 | 1.0 |
| 28 | Dylan Windler | NY | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.